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Obama, Clinton Treading Gently on the Stump
Sen. Barack Obama (D-Ill.) speaks to local residents in New Hampton, Iowa, in this October. 5, 2007 file photo. On Tuesday night, he plans to render to the state that gave him his first Autonomous primary nominating victory.(Associated Printing)
By Dan Balz
Barack Obama volition return to Iowa Tuesday night to celebrate another milestone in his long and sometimes bitter boxing confronting Hillary Clinton for the Democratic nomination. But the reality is that both sides have declared an constructive ceasefire as they prepare to bring the party together for a general election campaign against John McCain.
Obama has moved rapidly in the by x days to shift away from daily sparring with Clinton and to begin a general election argue with McCain that presents a fresh ready of tests for his candidacy. Only, his aides insist, he is mindful that he practise zip to suggest impatience with Clinton or to signal that she finish her candidacy before she is ready.
Clinton, meanwhile, soldiers on toward the end of the primaries on June 3 and perhaps longer against seemingly insurmountable odds. She is determined, aides say, neither to exist pushed from the race prematurely nor to be seen as doing anything to damage Obama's prospects of winning a general ballot against John McCain, if Obama is the nominee. She believes, the aides say, that is the best manner to bring the political party together as speedily as possible once the nomination contest is over.
Obama is favored to win the Oregon main on Tuesday, and Clinton is an even stronger favorite to win the Kentucky main. But Obama will non celebrate chief dark in either of those two states. Instead he has chosen to be in Iowa, the state where his victory in the caucuses in Jan turned the Autonomous race upside down. There, at a rally in Des Moines, he is expected to declare the he has secured a bulk of the pledged delegates currently eligible to attend the Democratic convention in Denver next August.
Obama and his advisers insist the event will end short of a declaration that he has won the nomination. But information technology will be seen equally another signal to superdelegates to clamber aboard the Obama bandwagon every bit quickly equally possible.
The celebration, however, has rankled the Clinton entrada and the candidate herself, who sees it equally a loftier-handed effort to embarrass her and to renew calls from others in the party for her to quit the race before anyone has achieved a genuine bulk of pledged delegates and superdelegates.
The Clinton campaign sent out a tart memo under the name of communications director Howard Wolfson on Mon calling the Obama rally in Iowa Tuesday "a slap in the confront of millions of voters in the remaining primary states and to Senator Clinton'south 17 million supporters." And then, in language tying the Obama campaign to the Bush White Firm, the memo continued: "Premature victory laps and false declarations of victory are unwarranted. Declaring mission achieved does not make information technology so."
Neb Burton, an Obama spokesman, insisted that the Iowa rally would non exist a declaration of mission accomplished. "Are nosotros declaring that we've won the nomination? No." he said. Only he called the expectation that Obama volition secure a bulk of the pledged delegates Tuesday "an important moment" that deserved a special celebration.
The Clinton campaign memo would have been seen equally commonplace a few weeks agone, when Obama and Clinton were in heated and often negative competition in states like Pennsylvania, Indiana and North Carolina. Instead, the memo stood out -- in part because it represented a departure from the tone and rhetoric of her campaign since the Indiana and North Carolina primaries.
Those contests dramatically changed perceptions of the Autonomous race, even though Clinton won, narrowly, the Indiana primary. Since then, Clinton has made significant adjustments in her campaign -- all designed to signal to Obama that she recognizes the reality of where the Democratic race is heading.
She has stopped running negative ads and, on the stump, has dramatically reduced her criticism of Obama. Last week, when President Bush-league made comments nigh appeasement that were seen as critical of Obama, she might have chimed in to say that she, as well, disagreed with the Illinois senator'south position that he was prepared to meet Iranian President Mahmoud Ahmadinejad without conditions. Instead she ignored her long-stated differences with Obama and attacked the president and McCain.
A day afterwards Indiana and North Carolina she was quoted every bit proverb Obama was having trouble winning the votes of "hardworking Americans, white Americans." The comment was seen as her trying to inject race into the Democratic entrada merely she quickly backed abroad from it, and that was the terminal time she said something critical of her rival that captured any headlines.
Rep. Charles Rangel (D-Northward.Y.), a supporter of Clinton's, called the white Americans line "the dumbest thing she could have said." Asked on CNN what she idea about his criticism, Clinton replied, "Well, he's probably right."
Obama directorate were highly irritated by her original annotate, fearing that it was a sign that she would continue to hammer him all the way through to the terminate of the race. Since then, they besides take seen a change in the rhetoric. 1 Obama adviser noted Monday that she has stopped attacking Obama for opposing a suspension of the gasoline revenue enhancement during the summer and said that sometime President Clinton, campaigning over the weekend, had talked more of party unity than the differences between his wife and Obama.
But from Clinton's perspective, the Obama campaign should return the favor by being every bit generous to her, and to her want to continue going until someone has accomplished a clear bulk of the delegates needed to win the nomination.
Clinton believes there is notwithstanding an exterior chance that she volition finish up with more pop votes than Obama one time the primaries cease, if the results from Florida are counted. If that is the instance, she might make i more argument to superdelegates, just at that place is little to suggest they will exist swayed to back up her.
She suffered a major blow Mon when Sen. Robert C. Byrd (D-West.Va.) announced that he will support Obama, even though Clinton won his home state by 41 percentage points last Tuesday, has worked with him on a mensurate to de-authorize the Republic of iraq war and has courted him repeatedly.
Her advisers say another reason she does not want to be pressured out of the race is that she believes it will be easier to bring her supporters to Obama once the primaries are over if they believe she was able to finish the nomination battle on her own terms.
That may explicate the pique with which the Clinton campaign responded to reports -- overblown, according to Obama advisers -- that Tuesday dark volition become a victory party for the Illinois senator. Although the Democratic race appears headed for a predictable event, the adjacent few weeks could determine how quickly and fully the party comes back together. Clinton and Obama both accept to play their parts carefully.
Past Web Politics Editor | May 19, 2008; 4:59 PM ET
Categories: Dan Balz's Take
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Source: http://voices.washingtonpost.com/44/2008/05/by-dan-balz-barack-obama.html
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